Bitcoin steps out of 'fear' for the first time in nine months
The highly-referenced Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index moved into neutral territory over the weekend following several months of fear.
On Jan. 15, the index reached a neutral level of 52, its highest since April 5, 2022. The move follows a 24% gain for Bitcoin (BTC) over the past seven days.
The market sentiment tracker hit a multi-year low of nine in June 2022. Since then it has been hovering between 20 and 30 in the “extreme fear” category. Furthermore, it registered its longest-ever streak of extreme fear in mid-2022, as reported by Cointelegraph.
The fear and greed index uses “motions and sentiments from different sources,” including current volatility, market momentum and volume, social media and Google trends data.
The data from these sources is then used to create a specific number to summarize the emotional landscape regarding BTC and crypto markets.
It comprises five categories ranging from extreme fear to extreme greed, the latter not seen since October 2021.
At the time of writing, the index has dipped back down to 45, which puts it back into the “fear” category, suggesting that confidence has yet to make a full return.
Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index is 45. Neutral
Current price: $20,879 pic.twitter.com/lnj3pd73XL
— Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index (@BitcoinFear) January 16, 2023
Meanwhile, BTC has seen its second-longest streak of gains in history, with a 12-day run this month. The asset has gained 28% since the beginning of this year, wiping out all losses in the crash that followed the FTX collapse in early November 2022.
The massive momentum has created a large movement in technical indicators such as the RSI (relative strength index), which has hit its highest level for four years on the daily timeframes.
High RSI figures can suggest that an asset is overbought and a correction is due.
Highest RSI levels on Daily $BTC chart for 4 years.
Each of the prior 3 touches of the 90 level responded as follows:
Touch 1: BTC continued +18% higher before correcting -12%
Touch 2: BTC continued +16% higher before correcting -21%
Touch 3: No BTC gain and -31% correction pic.twitter.com/swQSLqATIi
— Cold Blooded Shillver (@ColdBloodShill) January 15, 2023
Related: Bitcoin fails to convince that bottom is in with $12K ‘still likely’
Several analysts have labeled the recent move as a bull trap but a solid weekly close has led some to believe the momentum will continue.
You could not dream up a more bullish weekly candle. pic.twitter.com/fv66u76ujV
— The Wolf Of All Streets (@scottmelker) January 15, 2023
Professional trader and chart guru, Peter Brandt, summed it up on Jan. 16, tweeting:
“Any idiot can make wild guesses about markets, so here is my dunce-hat prediction. In reality, nobody has a clue what any given market will do. $BTC.”
Bitcoin was trading up 2.2% on the day at $21,165 at the time of writing, according to CoinGecko.